2027: Born to Rule?

Nigeria’s Rising Political Dynasties Revealed

·        As elite families tighten grip on nation’s democracy

·        Divide between political heirs, masses grow

As Nigeria approaches the 2027 elections, a quiet but consequential shift that raises urgent questions about whether democratic power is earned through merit or inherited through bloodlines is fast unfolding, JULIET IBIMINA writes.

As Nigeria inches towards the 2027 general elections, a troubling pattern is once again asserting itself across the nation’s political terrain: the steady entrenchment of dynastic politics. Increasingly, political power is beginning to resemble an inherited estate, where public office is treated less as a responsibility earned through merit than as a family heirloom passed from one generation to the next.

From the presidency to governorships and legislative constituencies, the children of Nigeria’s political elite are being carefully positioned to inherit the influence, networks and privileges built by their parents. At the same time, millions of young Nigerians from less privileged backgrounds continue to grapple with unemployment, failing education systems and limited opportunities, as they remain effectively excluded from meaningful political participation.

As preparations intensify for the 2027 elections, the names emerging across party structures increasingly read like a register of Nigeria’s most established political families. Among them is Yusuf Buhari, son of former President Muhammadu Buhari, who is believed to be considering a House of Representatives bid in Katsina State. Similarly, Abba Atiku Abubakar, son of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, has reportedly aligned with the ruling APC, a move widely interpreted as strategic positioning for his own political trajectory.

In Ogun State, Iyabo Obasanjo, daughter of former President Olusegun Obasanjo, is again being linked with frontline politics amid speculation of a governorship ambition. In Lagos, Seyi Tinubu has expanded his visibility, particularly among youth constituencies, strengthening what observers see as a potential springboard for elective office.

The pattern extends beyond presidential families. Bello el’Rufai, son of former Kaduna State governor Nasir el’Rufai, is already a member of the House of Representatives and is expected to consolidate his standing. Olamijuwonlo Alao-Akala, son of the late former Oyo State governor, is similarly entrenched in the National Assembly. Erhiatake Ibori-Suenu and Gboyega Adefarati, children of former governors James Ibori and Adebayo Adefarati respectively, also represent a growing class of second-generation politicians poised to shape the next electoral cycle.

In like manner, merging religious and political clout, Mubarak Gumi, son of the renowned cleric Dr Ahmad Gumi, is contesting the Doka/Gabasawa seat in Kaduna’s House of Assembly. Currently an aide to Speaker Tajudeen Abbas, he seeks to translate his father’s significant social influence into electoral victory. While Joacquin Wike, the eldest son of FCT Minister Nyesom Wike, who has recently emerged within the Rivers State political landscape, is reportedly positioning himself for the House of Representatives seat representing the Obio-Akpor Federal Constituency.

What is unfolding is more than a matter of family continuity—it is a systemic transfer of political capital that raises fundamental questions about fairness and access within Nigeria’s democracy. As elder statesman Obafemi Awolowo once cautioned, “The people’s business must be the first business of any government,” a principle that appears increasingly strained when public office begins to revolve around family succession rather than collective service.

The barriers confronting ordinary aspirants remain formidable. The exorbitant cost of nomination forms, often running into tens of millions of naira, has effectively priced out the average citizen. For the children of the elite, however, such costs are easily absorbed, reinforced by access to established political machinery and party structures.

Beyond finances lies the advantage of inherited networks. These political heirs benefit from long-standing alliances, loyal supporters and institutional familiarity that would take outsiders years to cultivate. In many instances, constituencies are informally treated as “safe seats,” further narrowing the space for competitive politics.

Meanwhile, the contrast with the lived reality of ordinary Nigerians is stark. While elite offspring are ushered into prominence, millions of young people struggle with economic hardship, fuelling migration in search of better opportunities. The democratic promise of equal opportunity appears increasingly distant.

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo himself once remarked that “democracy is not a do-or-die affair; it is about service,” a reminder that leadership should be anchored on responsibility rather than entitlement, an ideal that critics argue is being eroded by the rise of political dynasties.

To some, the emergence of second-generation politicians may be seen as a natural extension of public service within politically active families. Proponents argue that such individuals grow up with exposure to governance and may therefore possess valuable experience. Yet critics contend that the phenomenon reflects not competence, but privilege reinforced by systemic imbalance.

The implications for Nigeria’s democracy are significant. When leadership pathways are dominated by a narrow elite, merit risks being overshadowed by lineage, and fresh perspectives are crowded out. Public institutions, in turn, risk becoming instruments for preserving inherited power rather than advancing collective progress.

As 2027 approaches, the country stands at a critical juncture. The electorate must determine whether democratic participation will remain genuinely open or continue to tilt in favour of established political dynasties.

Ultimately, the health of Nigeria’s democracy will depend on whether it can create a level playing field, ne in which the child of a trader, teacher or artisan has a realistic chance of political success alongside the child of a president or governor. Without such balance, the nation risks drifting towards a system where political authority is quietly monopolised by a few families, leaving the promise of democracy diminished and its practice increasingly exclusive.